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Indican que el sector inmobiliario se haya en un “punto de inflexión”

La patronal de promotores Asprima pronostica una subida del 3% en el precio de la vivienda para 2007, del 0% para 2008 y del 1% para 2009.

También prevé una bajada de la demanda de entre el 15% y el 20% y por tanto una bajada en la oferta. La demanda potencial la sitúa en unas 500.000 viviendas anuales para los próximos 7 u 8 años. Sin embargo también apunta a que los inmigrantes en nuestro país pueden crear una demanda potencial de 100.000 viviendas al año.

Señalan los promotores así mismo que las subidas de tipos (ahora al 3,75%) recientes “están detrás del proceso de contención de los precios que ya lleva algo más de un año en marcha".

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All of my questions settled-thanks!
Publicado el 13/10/2015 4:10:41
Las estimaciones oaifioscs del Ministerio de Vivienda apuntan a que 2007 cerrare1 con una subida de entre el 4% y el 5%, ligeramente por encima del IPC. Una previsif3n cercana al 5% de la Asociacif3n de Promotores Constructores. Pero, hasta los analistas me1s optimistas, aseguran que 2008 y 2009 sere1n af1os en los que el precio de la vivienda descendere1 en te9rminos reales (descontando la inflacif3n) y tal vez nominales. Otro problema que sef1alan las fuentes consultadas es la deficiente calidad de las estadedsticas, que impide conocer la situacif3n actual. Segfan Barta, que estima en unos 18 meses el retraso que llevan las estadedsticas para reflejar la realidad, es muy probable que los precios ya este9n cayendo en te9rminos nominales. En los prf3ximos meses habre1 magnedficas oportunidades para los que quieran invertir. Si quieren cuadrar sus cuentas anuales, las inmobiliarias cotizadas tendre1n que sacar producto a precios muy ventajosos antes del 31 de diciembre , af1ade. (Recuerden, son palabras del 2007, en el 2008 el Presidente de Asprima admiteda una ligera contraccif3n que podreda durar uno, me1ximo dos af1os. Ver post Reivindicando la tormenta perfecta)

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